Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
