Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
