Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 11.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.49%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Porto |
11.34% | 19.48% | 69.18% |
Both teams to score 42.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.97% | 49.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.88% | 71.11% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.27% | 50.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.84% | 85.16% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.93% | 13.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.33% | 39.67% |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.5% 2-1 @ 3.11% 2-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.21% Total : 11.34% | 1-1 @ 9.16% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.53% Total : 19.48% | 0-2 @ 13.72% 0-1 @ 13.49% 1-2 @ 9.32% 0-3 @ 9.31% 1-3 @ 6.32% 0-4 @ 4.74% 1-4 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-5 @ 1.93% 1-5 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.59% Total : 69.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 77 |
2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
9 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 39 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 48 | -29 | 16 |
> Full Version |