Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 8.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.38%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
