Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
40.68% | 28.53% | 30.79% |
Both teams to score 45.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.16% | 60.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.13% | 80.87% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.66% | 29.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.68% | 65.32% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.2% | 35.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.43% | 72.57% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 12.87% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.54% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.01% Total : 30.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 54 | 13 | 41 | 56 |
2 | Porto | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 48 | 12 | 36 | 51 |
3 | Braga | 21 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 49 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 41 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 34 |
6 | Casa Pia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 32 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 30 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 27 |
9 | Vizela | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
10 | ChavesChaves | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 26 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 26 |
12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 24 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 15 |
17 | Maritimo | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 12 |
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