Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 41.97%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Santa Clara |
41.97% | 29.8% | 28.22% |
Both teams to score 41.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.36% | 65.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.66% | 84.33% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69% | 31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.69% | 67.3% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.49% | 40.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.89% | 77.11% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 14.7% 2-0 @ 8.61% 2-1 @ 7.78% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.96% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 12.55% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.8% | 0-1 @ 11.34% 1-2 @ 6.01% 0-2 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.33% Total : 28.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
2 | Porto | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 82 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 51 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 50 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 43 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 41 |
10 | Vizela | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 31 |
16 | Maritimo | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 26 |
17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 22 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
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