Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
