Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 17.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
