Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
