Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 9.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 3-0 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
74.65% | 16.2% | 9.15% |
Both teams to score 45.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.08% | 40.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.69% | 63.31% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.62% | 9.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.42% | 31.58% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.18% | 49.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.46% | 84.54% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
2-0 @ 13.08% 1-0 @ 11.06% 3-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.12% 3-1 @ 7.2% 4-0 @ 6.11% 4-1 @ 4.26% 5-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.51% 5-1 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.48% 6-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.45% Total : 74.63% | 1-1 @ 7.71% 0-0 @ 4.67% 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.65% Total : 16.2% | 0-1 @ 3.26% 1-2 @ 2.68% 0-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.08% Total : 9.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 12 | 33 | 47 |
2 | Braga | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 13 | 26 | 40 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 39 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 32 |
5 | Casa Pia | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 27 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 26 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 24 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 22 |
9 | Vizela | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 21 |
12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 20 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 19 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 18 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 14 |
17 | Maritimo | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 34 | -24 | 6 |
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