Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
38.05% | 29.19% | 32.76% |
Both teams to score 44.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.35% | 62.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.79% | 82.21% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.19% | 31.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.76% | 68.24% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.67% | 35.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.91% | 72.09% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 12.87% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.87% Total : 38.05% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.18% | 0-1 @ 11.69% 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.1% Total : 32.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
2 | Porto | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 11 | 34 | 45 |
3 | Braga | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 38 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 33 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
9 | Vizela | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
14 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 21 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Maritimo | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
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