Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
24.25% | 28.23% | 47.51% |
Both teams to score 42.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.25% | 62.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.72% | 82.28% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.62% | 42.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.24% | 78.76% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.38% | 26.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.15% | 61.85% |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 5.5% 2-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 1.58% 3-0 @ 1.19% 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.1% Total : 24.25% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 11.27% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 14.93% 0-2 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-3 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.44% 1-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.83% Total : 47.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 13 | 45 | 62 |
2 | Porto | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 15 | 37 | 54 |
3 | Braga | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 49 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 47 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 37 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 34 |
7 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 32 |
8 | BoavistaBoavista | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 30 |
9 | Vizela | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 29 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 27 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 |
12 | ChavesChaves | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 22 |
16 | Maritimo | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 16 |
17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 15 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 40 | -24 | 12 |
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