Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Santa Clara |
36.81% | 28.33% | 34.86% |
Both teams to score 46.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.53% | 59.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.17% | 79.83% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.03% | 30.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.73% | 67.27% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.79% | 32.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.3% | 68.71% |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 11.69% 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.81% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 11.3% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 77 |
2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
9 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 39 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 48 | -29 | 16 |
> Full Version |