Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 44.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 27.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
27.62% | 28.3% | 44.08% |
Both teams to score 44.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.8% | 61.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.86% | 81.14% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.5% | 38.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.75% | 75.25% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.35% | 27.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.81% | 63.19% |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 4.85% 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.57% Total : 27.61% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 13.68% 0-2 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-3 @ 3.77% 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.21% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.75% Total : 44.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 66 | 14 | 52 | 68 |
2 | Porto | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 58 |
3 | Braga | 25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 56 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 23 | 26 | 50 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 40 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 38 |
8 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 33 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 33 |
10 | Vizela | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 32 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 32 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 30 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 22 |
16 | Maritimo | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 47 | -30 | 16 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 16 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 15 |
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