Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
56.96% | 25.66% | 17.38% |
Both teams to score 40.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.25% | 60.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.19% | 80.8% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.52% | 21.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.49% | 54.51% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.26% | 48.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.23% | 83.76% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 16.1% 2-0 @ 12.38% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 4.56% 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.82% Total : 56.95% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 3.2% Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 7.52% 1-2 @ 4.16% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 2% Total : 17.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 69 | 17 | 52 | 74 |
2 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 |
3 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 48 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 41 |
8 | Vizela | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 39 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
10 | ChavesChaves | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 37 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 35 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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