Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Maritimo |
53.96% | 24.25% | 21.79% |
Both teams to score 50.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.29% | 50.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.39% | 72.61% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.29% | 18.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.92% | 50.08% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.07% | 37.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.3% | 74.7% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 11.89% 2-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 5.4% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.95% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.88% 1-2 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.58% Total : 21.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
2 | Porto | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 19 | 45 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Vizela | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 40 |
10 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
> Full Version |