Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Braga |
20.26% | 25.89% | 53.85% |
Both teams to score 43.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.66% | 58.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.04% | 78.96% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.1% | 43.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.96% | 80.04% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.23% | 21.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.03% | 54.97% |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 7.87% 2-1 @ 4.94% 2-0 @ 3.24% 3-1 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.26% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 9.56% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 14.57% 0-2 @ 11.1% 1-2 @ 9.14% 0-3 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 4.65% 0-4 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.9% Total : 53.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
2 | Porto | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 48 |
3 | Braga | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 38 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 33 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
9 | Vizela | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Maritimo | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
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