Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
64.98% | 20.26% | 14.75% |
Both teams to score 49.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.3% | 44.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.94% | 67.06% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.02% | 12.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.53% | 39.47% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.41% | 42.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.06% | 78.94% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
2-0 @ 11.52% 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 6.7% 4-0 @ 4.01% 4-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.86% 5-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.02% Total : 64.97% | 1-1 @ 9.63% 0-0 @ 5.53% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.26% | 0-1 @ 4.72% 1-2 @ 4.11% 0-2 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.19% 1-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 6 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Porto | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 8 | 19 | 26 |
3 | Braga | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 25 |
4 | Casa Pia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 23 |
5 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 20 |
7 | PortimonensePortimonense | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 19 |
8 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 19 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
13 | Vizela | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
14 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 |
16 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 9 |
17 | Maritimo | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 6 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 24 | -17 | 2 |
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