Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 48.49%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
24.49% | 27.01% | 48.49% |
Both teams to score 45.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.4% | 58.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.84% | 79.16% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.21% | 39.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.54% | 76.46% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.74% | 24.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.38% | 58.63% |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 8.9% 2-1 @ 5.81% 2-0 @ 4.1% 3-1 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.26% 3-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.38% Total : 24.49% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 9.65% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 13.67% 0-2 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-3 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.62% 1-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.39% Total : 48.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 13 | 45 | 62 |
2 | Porto | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 15 | 37 | 54 |
3 | Braga | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 49 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 47 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 40 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 34 |
7 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 32 |
8 | BoavistaBoavista | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 30 |
9 | Vizela | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 29 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 27 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 26 |
14 | ChavesChaves | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 22 |
16 | Maritimo | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 16 |
17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 15 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 40 | -24 | 12 |
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