Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
33.88% | 27.5% | 38.62% |
Both teams to score 49.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.49% | 56.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.49% | 77.51% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.64% | 31.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.28% | 67.72% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.57% | 28.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.82% | 64.18% |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.87% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.91% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 11.21% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.08% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 33 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 79 | 20 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Porto | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 82 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 31 | 38 | 71 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 53 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 51 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 43 |
9 | Casa Pia | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 41 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 32 |
16 | Maritimo | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 23 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 22 |
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