Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
