Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
29.7% | 27.01% | 43.29% |
Both teams to score 49.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.25% | 55.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.11% | 76.89% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.09% | 33.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.42% | 70.57% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.46% | 25.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.61% | 60.39% |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 6.91% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.7% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.66% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-2 @ 8.07% 1-3 @ 3.97% 0-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
2 | Porto | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 48 |
3 | Braga | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 38 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 33 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
9 | Vizela | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Maritimo | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
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