Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Benfica has a probability of 35.91% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline is Benfica 1-1 Porto with a probability of 11.3% and the second most likely scoreline is Benfica 1-2 Porto with a probability of 8.64%.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Benfica win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Porto |
35.91% | 24.41% | 39.68% |
Both teams to score 59.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.02% | 42.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.62% | 65.38% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.37% | 23.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.28% | 57.72% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.3% | 21.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.15% | 54.85% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Porto |
2-1 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.12% Total : 35.91% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-1 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.99% 1-3 @ 4.4% 2-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 3.05% 1-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.55% Total : 39.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 16 |
3 | Benfica | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
5 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
8 | Casa Pia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 6 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
13 | Vizela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
17 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 4 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 1 |
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