Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Benfica win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Benfica |
39.59% | 26.28% | 34.13% |
Both teams to score 53.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.41% | 51.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.62% | 73.38% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.42% | 25.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.55% | 60.45% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.26% | 28.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.42% | 64.58% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.59% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 68 | 16 | 52 | 71 |
2 | Porto | 27 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 58 | 18 | 40 | 64 |
3 | Braga | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 59 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 54 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 41 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 41 |
7 | Vizela | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
8 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 33 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 33 |
12 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 19 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 15 |
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