Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Porto had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
