Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
18.85% | 23.73% | 57.41% |
Both teams to score 47.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.81% | 52.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.1% | 73.9% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.1% | 41.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.65% | 78.34% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.03% | 17.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.18% | 48.82% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 6.55% 2-1 @ 4.89% 2-0 @ 2.85% 3-1 @ 1.42% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.85% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 12.92% 0-2 @ 11.09% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-3 @ 6.35% 1-3 @ 5.52% 0-4 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 2.37% 2-4 @ 1.03% 0-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.42% Total : 57.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
2 | Porto | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 19 | 45 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Vizela | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 40 |
10 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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