Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.85%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 8.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.43%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Portimonense |
77.85% | 14.07% | 8.07% |
Both teams to score 48.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.78% | 34.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.88% | 56.12% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.9% | 7.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.13% | 25.87% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.38% | 47.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.05% | 82.94% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Portimonense |
2-0 @ 11.82% 3-0 @ 10.43% 1-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 7.74% 4-0 @ 6.9% 4-1 @ 5.12% 5-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 2.87% 5-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 1.9% 6-0 @ 1.61% 6-1 @ 1.2% 5-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.17% Total : 77.84% | 1-1 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.38% 2-2 @ 3.26% Other @ 0.8% Total : 14.07% | 0-1 @ 2.51% 1-2 @ 2.46% 0-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.17% Total : 8.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
2 | Porto | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 19 | 45 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Vizela | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 40 |
10 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
> Full Version |