MX23RW : Friday, August 5 03:33:59| >> :120:72156:72156:
Dec 3, 2020 at 8pm UK at Estádio da Luz
Benfica
4 - 0
Lech Poznan
Vertonghen (36'), Nunez (57'), Pizzi (58'), Weigl (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Katcharava (2'), Marchwinski (72')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Standard Liege and Lech Poznan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.56%) and 3-2 (4.81%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawLech Poznan
44.91%21.28%33.81%
Both teams to score 71.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.15%27.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.45%48.55%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61%13.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.69%40.31%
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29%17.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63%48.37%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 44.91%
    Lech Poznan 33.81%
    Draw 21.28%
BenficaDrawLech Poznan
2-1 @ 8.3%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-2 @ 4.81%
2-0 @ 4.79%
1-0 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.8%
4-2 @ 2.42%
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-3 @ 1.4%
5-1 @ 1.13%
5-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 44.91%
1-1 @ 8.25%
2-2 @ 7.18%
3-3 @ 2.78%
0-0 @ 2.37%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.28%
1-2 @ 7.14%
2-3 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-1 @ 4.11%
0-2 @ 3.55%
0-3 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.79%
1-4 @ 1.78%
3-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 33.81%

How you voted: Benfica vs Lech Poznan

Benfica
83.9%
Draw
12.4%
Lech Poznan
3.6%
193
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2020 5.55pm
Group D
Lech Poznan
2-4
Benfica
Ishak (15', 49')
Crnomarkovic (17'), Muhar (90+1')
Pizzi (9' pen.), Nunez (42', 60', 90+3')

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