Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
