Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 65.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.95%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Benfica |
13.31% | 20.79% | 65.9% |
Both teams to score 44.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.14% | 49.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.14% | 71.86% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.09% | 47.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.83% | 83.17% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.68% | 14.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.86% | 42.14% |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 5.05% 2-1 @ 3.61% 2-0 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.8% Total : 13.31% | 1-1 @ 9.81% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 3.51% Other @ 0.61% Total : 20.79% | 0-1 @ 13.33% 0-2 @ 12.95% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 8.4% 1-3 @ 6.18% 0-4 @ 4.08% 1-4 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-5 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.28% Total : 65.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 13 | 48 | 65 |
2 | Porto | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 57 |
3 | Braga | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 23 | 26 | 50 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 40 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 37 |
7 | Casa Pia | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 35 |
8 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 30 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
10 | Vizela | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
12 | ChavesChaves | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 29 |
13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 22 |
16 | Maritimo | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 16 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
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