Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Porto in this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
64.53% | 21.05% | 14.42% |
Both teams to score 46.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.33% | 48.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.22% | 70.78% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.64% | 14.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.78% | 42.22% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.5% | 45.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.67% | 81.33% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 12.67% 2-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 6.27% 4-0 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.47% 5-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.38% Total : 64.52% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.05% | 0-1 @ 5.14% 1-2 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 2.03% 1-3 @ 1.03% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.29% Total : 14.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 |
R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
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