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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Maritimo
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 22, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
1 - 0
Guimaraes
Marega (49')
Mensah (55'), Marega (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 14.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Porto in this match.

Result
PortoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
64.53%21.05%14.42%
Both teams to score 46.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33%48.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22%70.78%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64%14.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.78%42.22%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.5%45.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.67%81.33%
Score Analysis
    Porto 64.52%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 14.42%
    Draw 21.05%
PortoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.67%
2-0 @ 12.3%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 6.27%
4-0 @ 3.86%
4-1 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.47%
5-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.2%
5-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 64.52%
1-1 @ 9.99%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.05%
0-1 @ 5.14%
1-2 @ 3.93%
0-2 @ 2.03%
1-3 @ 1.03%
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 14.42%

How you voted: Porto vs Guimaraes

Porto
89.6%
Draw
8.3%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
2.1%
48
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2020 9pm
gameweek 11
Guimaraes
2-3
Porto
Rochinha (7'), Estupinan (63')
Mensah (15'), Pepelu (26')
Taremi (42', 65'), Diaz (80')
Baro (12')
Feb 16, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 21
Guimaraes
1-2
Porto
Duarte (49')
Jesus (10' og.), Marega (60')
Luis (44'), Marega (61')
Sep 1, 2019 6.30pm
gameweek 4
Porto
3-0
Guimaraes
Marega (14', 93'), Marcano (88')
Corona (17'), Diaz (32'), Marcano (71')

Henrique (12'), Sacko (53'), Davidson (78')
Tapsoba (1'), Davidson (79')
Feb 3, 2019 8pm
gameweek 20
Guimaraes
0-0
Porto

Wakaso (90')

Torres (65'), Hernani (96'), Telles (98'), Herrera (98')
Aug 25, 2018 9pm
gameweek 3
Porto
2-3
Guimaraes
Brahimi (37'), Pereira (43')
Leite (24'), Felipe (78'), Telles (87')
Andre (63' pen.), Toze (76'), Davidson (87')
Wakaso (9'), Hanin (83')
Content continues below the video

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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica34283382206287
2Porto34274373225185
3Braga34253675304578
4Sporting Lisbon34235671323974
5AroucaArouca34159103637-154
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34165133439-553
7ChavesChaves341210123540-546
8FamalicaoFamalicao34135163947-844
9BoavistaBoavista34128144354-1144
10Casa Pia34118153140-941
11Vizela34117163438-440
12Rio AveRio Ave341010143643-740
13Gil Vicente34107173241-937
14Estoril PraiaEstoril34105193349-1635
15PortimonensePortimonense34104202548-2334
16Maritimo3475223263-3126
17Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira3465232662-3623
RSanta ClaraSanta Clara3457222658-3222

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