Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Wakrah would win this match.