Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Mu'aidar win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Mu'aidar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.