Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 13.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
