Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 17.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Boavista win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.