Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
46.04% | 26.66% | 27.3% |
Both teams to score 48.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.42% | 55.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.25% | 76.75% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% | 24.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.61% | 58.39% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.31% | 35.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.54% | 72.46% |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.56% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 8.86% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 1.99% Total : 27.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 77 |
2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 61 | 28 | 33 | 64 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
8 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
9 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 40 |
11 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
> Full Version |