Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 12, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Benfica
2 - 1
Santa Clara
We said: Benfica 2-1 Santa Clara
Benfica will head into the game with renewed confidence following their dominant win over Tondela last time out. However, they face a spirited Santa Clara side who have forced their way into the top half of the table after a superb turnaround. While we expect the visitors to put up a fight, we predict Benfica will come away with a slender win given they head into the game with a significantly-superior and more-experienced squad. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.85%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.14%) and 3-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 72.85% | 17.03% | 10.12% |
| Both teams to score 46.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
