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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Augsburg |
50.19% ( -0.03) | 23.47% ( 0.07) | 26.35% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 58.11% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.98% ( -0.36) | 43.02% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.58% ( -0.36) | 65.42% ( 0.36) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.75% ( -0.14) | 17.25% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.44% ( -0.26) | 47.57% ( 0.26) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.23% ( -0.22) | 29.78% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.15% ( -0.27) | 65.85% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.92% Total : 50.19% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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