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League Two | 1st Leg
May 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Stockport County
Salford City
1 - 0
Stockport
Smith (17')
Watt (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Gillingham
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Hartlepool
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 0-1 Stockport County

Stockport were by far and away the best team in League Two in the second half of the season, and they were only denied automatic promotion because of a very slow start, as they readjusted to life back in the EFL. Not only that, but Salford were very poor at home all season, most recently putting in a disappointing performance against Gillingham in an important game, so it is likely the visitors emerge with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salford City in this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawStockport County
36.64% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.85% (0.0030000000000001 0) 36.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.4% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.76% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)75.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.26% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.98% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.35% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)64.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 36.64%
    Stockport County 36.5%
    Draw 26.85%
Salford CityDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.64%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 36.5%

How you voted: Salford City vs Stockport

Salford City
40.0%
Draw
10.0%
Stockport County
50.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Salford City
0-2
Stockport

Eastham (40')
Collar (45+2'), Madden (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient462613761342791
4Stockport CountyStockport4622131165372879
6Bradford CityBradford4620161061431876
7Salford City462291572541875
8Mansfield TownMansfield4621121372551775
9BarrowBarrow46188204753-662
10Swindon TownSwindon461613176155661
11Grimsby Town461613174956-761
12Tranmere RoversTranmere461513184548-358
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461416164860-1258
14Sutton UnitedSutton461513184658-1258
15Newport CountyNewport461415175356-357
16Walsall461219154649-355
17Gillingham461413193649-1355
18Doncaster RoversDoncaster46167234665-1955
19Harrogate TownHarrogate461216185968-952
20Colchester UnitedColchester461213214451-749
21AFC Wimbledon461115204860-1248
22Crawley TownCrawley461113224871-2346
RHartlepool UnitedHartlepool46916215278-2643
RRochdale46911264670-2438

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