Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.