Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
40.38% ( -0.73) | 24.9% ( 0.16) | 34.72% ( 0.57) |
Both teams to score 57.82% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.54% ( -0.61) | 45.46% ( 0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.21% ( -0.58) | 67.8% ( 0.58) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.56% ( -0.62) | 22.44% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.03% ( -0.93) | 55.97% ( 0.93) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.55% ( 0.04) | 25.45% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.72% ( 0.06) | 60.28% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.38% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
> Full Version |