Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.