Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
