Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 57.92%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 21.97% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.24%) and 1-3 (6.99%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.