Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 8.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.15%) and 3-0 (10.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.