Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 19.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
19.15% | 20.56% | 60.29% |
Both teams to score 58.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.95% | 38.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.69% | 60.31% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.69% | 33.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.07% | 69.93% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.73% | 12.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.99% | 38.01% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 5.18% 1-0 @ 4.49% 2-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-1 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.21% Total : 19.15% | 1-1 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 5.44% 0-0 @ 4.09% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-2 @ 9% 0-1 @ 8.58% 1-3 @ 6.92% 0-3 @ 6.29% 2-3 @ 3.8% 1-4 @ 3.63% 0-4 @ 3.3% 2-4 @ 1.99% 1-5 @ 1.52% 0-5 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.99% Total : 60.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 90 | 36 | 54 | 86 |
2 | Marseille | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 71 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 69 |
4 | Rennes | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 82 | 40 | 42 | 66 |
5 | Nice | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 66 |
6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 63 |
7 | Lens | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 62 | 48 | 14 | 62 |
8 | Lyon | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 66 | 51 | 15 | 61 |
9 | NantesNantes | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 55 |
10 | Lille | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 55 |
11 | Brest | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 48 |
12 | Reims | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 43 |
14 | Angers | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 41 |
15 | Troyes | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
16 | Lorient | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 35 | 63 | -28 | 36 |
17 | Clermont | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 38 | 69 | -31 | 36 |
18 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 38 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 32 |
R | Metz | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 69 | -34 | 31 |
R | Bordeaux | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 52 | 91 | -39 | 31 |
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