Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
30.85% | 27.46% | 41.69% |
Both teams to score 48.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.98% | 57.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.09% | 77.91% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.28% | 33.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% | 70.37% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.05% | 26.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.71% | 62.29% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.85% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 11.91% 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-2 @ 7.81% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2% Total : 41.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 31 | 44 | 75 |
2 | Lens | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 66 |
3 | Marseille | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 64 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 46 | 20 | 61 |
5 | Lille | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 56 |
6 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 53 |
7 | Lyon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 50 |
8 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 47 |
9 | Nice | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 45 |
10 | Lorient | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 45 |
11 | Clermont | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
12 | Toulouse | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 37 |
14 | Auxerre | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 33 |
15 | NantesNantes | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
16 | Brest | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Troyes | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 21 |
19 | Ajaccio | 31 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 22 | 58 | -36 | 21 |
R | Angers | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 68 | -43 | 14 |
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