Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
42.8% | 27.55% | 29.65% |
Both teams to score 47.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.22% | 57.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.48% | 78.52% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% | 26.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.02% | 61.98% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.98% | 35.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.23% | 71.77% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 12.35% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.13% Total : 29.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 31 | 44 | 75 |
2 | Lens | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 66 |
3 | Marseille | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 64 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 46 | 20 | 61 |
5 | Lille | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 56 |
6 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 53 |
7 | Lyon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 50 |
8 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 47 |
9 | Nice | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 45 |
10 | Lorient | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 45 |
11 | Clermont | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
12 | Toulouse | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 37 |
14 | Auxerre | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 33 |
15 | NantesNantes | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
16 | Brest | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Troyes | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 21 |
19 | Ajaccio | 31 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 22 | 58 | -36 | 21 |
R | Angers | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 68 | -43 | 14 |
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