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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Talen Energy Stadium
Toronto FC
Philadelphia
4 - 2
Toronto
MacNaughton (16' og.), Uhre (20', 43', 56')
Elliott (36'), Carranza (63')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Insigne (66'), Laryea (90+2')
Insigne (45+1')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-2 Toronto

With a massive CCL semi-final just around the corner, the Union might have one eye on this game and another on their opening match with LAFC. That being said, both teams have quality all over the field, but the Reds have struggled to close out fixtures this year, while it has been the opposite story for Philly.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 12.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
69.61% (0.0010000000000048 0) 17.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 12.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 51.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.83% (0.0020000000000095 0)10.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.91%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 69.61%
    Toronto 12.47%
    Draw 17.92%
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
2-0 @ 11.3%
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.92%
4-1 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.15%
5-0 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 69.61%
1-1 @ 8.45%
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 17.92%
0-1 @ 3.7%
1-2 @ 3.61%
0-2 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 12.47%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Toronto

Philadelphia Union
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Toronto
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Philadelphia
4-0
Toronto
Gazdag (4', 60' pen., 63'), Uhre (42')

Bradley (29')
Apr 17, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Philadelphia
Jimenez (39'), Pozuelo (51')
Nelson (19'), Pozuelo (30'), Bradley (45+1'), Chung (75')
Carranza (34')
Carranza (53')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 41
Toronto
2-2
Philadelphia
Altidore (66'), Elliott (70' og.)
Mavinga (57')
Bedoya (1'), Santos (77')
Andres Martinez (87')
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 21
Philadelphia
3-0
Toronto
Glesnes (12'), Gazdag (33' pen.), Santos (36')
Glesnes (26'), Wagner (47'), Mbaizo (90')
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
gameweek 21
Philadelphia
5-0
Toronto
Santos (27', 63', 68'), McKenzie (33'), Monteiro (55')
Monteiro (9'), Blake (64')

Auro (10'), Mullins (73')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati1410312214833
2Nashville SCNashville147431991025
3New England RevolutionNew England147432217525
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia147342315824
5Atlanta UnitedAtlanta156542925423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156362025-521
7Orlando City145541717020
8DC United155462018219
9Columbus Crew135352517818
10CF MontrealMontreal146081322-918
11Chicago Fire143742124-316
12New York City FCNY City144461619-316
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls153751013-316
14Toronto153751519-416
15Inter MiamiInter Miami145091418-415

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City1482429141526
2Seattle SoundersSeattle158252113826
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles1274123101325
4Dallas156631714324
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145451819-119
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd145451315-219
7Houston DynamoHouston135351312118
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver144551917217
9Portland TimbersPortland154471924-516
10Austin FCAustin144461420-616
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144461423-916
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas153481322-913
13Colorado RapidsColorado152671222-1012
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy142391024-149

Real Madrid Until The End
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