Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 44.16%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.38%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.